Wednesday, October 23, 2013

Weekend Preview: Season 12, Week 8

Welcome to the second half of Boz Cup 12! At the halfway mark Michael is threatening to run away with the title, and we have a huge game between him and second-place Paul. More on that a bit later.
There's a huge glut in 2nd-9th, with every team either 4-3 or 3-4. Josh M is struggling with a lackluster title defense at 2-5. But it is still very easy for everyone else to either finish in the money or playing in the Toilet Bowl.

Matt has fallen the last two weeks, and now faces some injury problems. Meanwhile Paul has rocketed upward with a 3-game streak. Shane has staged a mini-comeback as well, while Wendell and Chris are fading from contention.

But the Boz Cup has a funny history of being closer than people expect. No team ever runs away with the title after a fast start. Greg is nodding vigorously.


Here's a look ahead at Week 8 matchups:


Last week predictions: 4-1

Paul 4-3 (90-71) vs Michael 6-1 (82-79)
Michael has a slim 11-10 series edge, but Paul has won the last 2 and 4-of-5.
This game is important for Paul but also for the league behind Michael. If Michael wins, he is 7-1 with a minimum 2-game lead over everyone and possibly three depending on how Matt and Shane perform. If Paul wins, then he is just a game back and the whole pack moves a bit closer. This is the most important game of the season thus far. And who has the edge? Michael takes a hit if Jimmy Graham can't play, and Paul has a large advantage at running back, and a smaller but still decided advantage at WR. This could come down to MNF, with Russell Wilson and the Hawks D for Paul, and Steven Hauschka for Michael. But it shouldn't matter, look for Paul to win and keep the Cup chase exciting, because that's what happens in the Boz Cup.

Josh V 3-4 (80-81) vs Chris 3-4 (71-90)
Josh is 12-6 against Chris, and is on a 3-game win streak.
Josh has massive bye problems plus injury issues, which may be just what Chris needs to get back on track. Chris has scored the fewest points in the league by a wide margin, but despite that look for him to get past Josh this week. Too many byes.

Matt 4-3 (30-19) vs Wendell 3-4 (89-72)
Wendell leads 3-2, but Matt won the most recent game.
Michael Vick returns, and none too soon for Matt who has been in a tailspin without him. He has some bye problems, though Wendell does too. The terrible backups RBs playing this week cancel each other out, which should leave Matt to triumph because his Eagles are facing the terrible Giants D.

Josh M 2-5 (29-20) vs Rob 3-4 (65-96)
Josh is 3-1 against Rob, but Rob won the last game.
Byes and injuries are ravaging Josh this week, and it doesn't seen likely he'll be able to hold up against Rob. Solid matchups should allow Rob to coast to an easy win.

Shane 4-3 (83-78) vs Greg 3-4 (78-83)
Greg is 15-6 against Shane, one of the most lopsided series. And Greg is on a 7-game win streak, the longest active series streak.
Greg has truly severe bye issues this week, almost as if his draft planned to take this week off. Shane will take it, of course, all the way to 5-3 and a game behind Michael. Hard to see how Greg even fields a team this week, but he has total point tiebreakers to think about.

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